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Buhari And The Chibok Girls Conundrum






By this time last year, the blame game was at its height with President Goodluck Jonathan clearly at the receiving end of it all. His sluggish reaction to the abduction of 234 students of the Government Girls' Secondary school, Chibok in Borno state and, thereafter, his inability to track down the perpetrators and return the girls back home, were the issues at stake.
 
Fifty-seven girls were said to have escaped soon afterwards but the remaining 219 are still being held and have not been seen since they appeared in a video released by Boko Haram a month after their abduction.

His government’s explanations did not impress; nobody was in the mood for excuses. Not even the issues raised with the gaps in the ‘abduction’ narrative and how they posed an uncommon challenge to a President eager to avoid the pitfalls all terrorists dig for their targets, cut any ice. It was a sore point in the man’s tenure, but it fitted perfectly into the opposition designs during the political campaigns towards the 2015 general elections.

The opposition APC fed fat on the blame game. General Muhammadu Buhari who was running for the presidency on its platform made a sing-song of the failure of leadership on Jonathan’s part and campaigned largely on the promise to return the girls within weeks of his inauguration. Eight months into his presidency, there appears no path to identifying the girls’ location, much more rescuing them.

The worry is not that Buhari has not returned the girls as promised; the worry is more because his pronouncements on the issue so far, have been inconsistent. While addressing the European Parliament on February 3, Buhari went on the same jive, reassuring the international community once again of his government’s resolve to rescue alive the school girls kidnapped in April 2014 and reunite them with their families. He got the cheers he deserved but it was obvious to those who know, that it was made, apparently, to impress.

Less than a month earlier, the president was far less optimistic. Indeed, what came out of the meeting he had with some of the parents of the missing girls last month, was gloomy and confusing. A presidential statement had reported Buhari as having promised to launch a new investigation into the abductions. The account of the encounter by former education minister Oby Ezekwesili, who leads the BringBackOurGirls group, said Buhari had told them there was no "reliable intelligence that would enable them to rescue the girls…”. So what are we to believe?

His prevarication was evident during his first presidential media chat when he locating the girls who “have been dispersed over the place …”  was one thing and identifying the right leadership of Boko Haram for any form of negotiation for their release, was the other. He has since repeated his preparedness to negotiate with any "credible" Boko Haram leaders for the girls' release.

I am not one of Olusegun Obasanjo’s fans but one thing you cannot take away from the former president is his deep knowledge of issues and the conviction with which he expresses them.  Following Buhari’s repeated assurances, OBJ, as he is fondly called, has declared to optimistic Nigerians that “anyone saying the girls would return was simply telling lies”. It is not the first time he had expressed doubts that all the girls would ever come back home.

Without being unduly cynical in the circumstances, the truth is that it seems unrealistic ---some say it is practically impossible --to rescue alive, over 219 girls abducted in such a dire situation of strife and warfare nearly two years ago. Unless of course, they are kept in some cosy apartments in Maiduguri, away from these air and ground bombardments, and if we discountenance the threats made by Boko Haram leaders to either marry them off or trade them for cash.

In the last quarter of 2015, Buhari had issued the military an order to defeat Boko Haram by the end of the year. When Lai Mohammed was installed Minister of Information, he redefined the order which now looked impossible, to mean that Buhari actually meant that by December 31, 2016, Boko Haram would no longer be in control of any inch of Nigerian territory.

If that order was achieved, how do we then believe that our soldiers are still combing the expansive Sambissa forest for the missing girls? While not renewing the blame game, even if it is obvious that Buhari has not fulfilled his promise, it is important that he reviews the narrative. We must not lose hope, and we must not relent in our efforts to get the girls --and prevent more from being held or killed. But we demand that the president speaks more matter-of-factly about such issues instead of the present situation where fewer and fewer Nigerians take him seriously when he repeats that well-rehearsed promise to rescue the girls alive and to return them home.

Optimism has its uses but there is a limit to it; more importantly, as many people are wont to remind him, the campaigns are over.

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People&Politics, published monthly in print and daily online, is Nigeria’s leading magazine on People, Politics and Policy. It is the publication where you find the most refreshing news, incisive analysis and informed commentaries on Nigerian politics and governance.
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